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 | 📰 WikiFX Review: Can you trust a forex broker called Sky Alliance Markets? 🔎 Read the full article here: https://www.wikifx.com/en/newsdetail/202211115834236160.html?source=fja3 ✔️ Download the WikiFX App to get updated and more information. https://wikifx1.onelink.me/QUVu/fja3 #wikifx #wikifxph #forex #forexnews #forexupdate #forexph #forextrading #philippinesgram #pinoy #davao #adventurephilippines submitted by WikiBitPH to u/WikiBitPH [link] [comments] https://preview.redd.it/xy9orqh35a0a1.jpg?width=1200&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=f313468e1f7ef09bca7d0c6474235378053be2b8 |
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 | Lets start with a quick recap of a few things from FOMC submitted by DaddyDersch to wallstreetbets [link] [comments] https://preview.redd.it/wawrv2hlrx5a1.png?width=975&format=png&auto=webp&s=39238a222bb21d077d7404d02d19d78644816a38 Markets actually accepted this news as fairly bullish. The real question will be how the markets digest this news over night and tomorrow. We also have monthly OPEX to start thinking about Friday too. https://preview.redd.it/cp81eoimrx5a1.png?width=975&format=png&auto=webp&s=9c9dd0be95e6f5c13b17502de5de3eec2e3ca662 This morning we attempted to break back into that channel at 405.3, however, we had a real nice rejection there. We still are holding this larger red rising wedge though so as I mentioned before realistically until we break through that support I don’t think any short position is worth it. There is quite a case being made that we are stuck in this 390.1 to 405.3 range for the foreseeable future. Every day we get to a point where we think we might finally get some answers and a sense of direction for the future and every day we are just left with more questions. Bull case is that we did hold daily 8ema and tomorrow we will attempt to retake the daily 200ema and close over 402.5 reisistance. If bulls can take out 405.3 resistance and close back in the grey channel we will have another attempt at 410 and eventually 419.5 would be the target. Bear case is that we hard rejected 405.3 resistance after we lost it as support yesterday. That should confirm that as a resistance and therefore we should expect support at 390.1 to be tested first. With losing the daily 200em again the next step is for bears to bear through the red rising wedge support at 397 tomorrow. This should open up downside to retest 394 support and eventually 390.1 support. https://preview.redd.it/szp86gjorx5a1.png?width=975&format=png&auto=webp&s=e511463f274ceebc7d91e5a7b30dbd8821dfed68 Futures is still riding the rising wedge and also its daily 8, 20 and 200ema as support. We do have a nice hammer candle followed by doji double top at 4055 though. Key resistance- 4095 -> 4180 Key support- 4020 -> 3965 -> 3935 Taking a look at tesla it actually had a pretty small day movement wise only moving $6.31 total which is about 63% of its normal 10 day range. 157 remains support here and for now we hold the red bear channel inside the falling wedge. Support- 157 -> 151.8 -> 146.3 resistance- 160.7 -> 167.9 https://preview.redd.it/zientnaprx5a1.png?width=975&format=png&auto=webp&s=685ae361118bdb3c15fd1eb118c684f37fea658b https://preview.redd.it/cucda6uprx5a1.png?width=788&format=png&auto=webp&s=e9a9877201dd946210d2b0c139b833e74a480589 Factoring in the cycles we are not 3 days and 1.9% over the average sell off length and %.... we should be looking for about a 4 day 14.04% bounce which puts us right near $177 by December 20th. https://preview.redd.it/f8pulrlrrx5a1.png?width=636&format=png&auto=webp&s=befbb2b3059fd1bfe889ed5a444bc1d42d201f37 Everyday I think more and more that they should just delist the VIX… its so beyond detached from reality and how it used to behave its not funny. For instance today we actually saw the vix dumping into FOMC which is absolutely insane considering there was a lot of information markets knew they would get. I get market is on straight bull mode right now and seem to think that everything is good news… but it’s a little ridiculous to not see any sort of move up on the VIX before FOMC… its also even more interesting the fact that the VIX continued to sell off EOD. I get that the information is now out there but there was a lot of non-dovish data released and JPOW was not nearly as dovish as he was back at that presser on November 30th. With the VIX dumping back under the daily 8ema it should be looking for that 19.7 range again. Market technical and overall information received at FOMC and whats to come in 2023 makes me bearish, however, the VIX makes me cautiously bullish. Daily ta- https://preview.redd.it/s8j1pi9urx5a1.png?width=447&format=png&auto=webp&s=5d5aaa312da8e2684827d766cac0d374331750e8 I went into today with a plan based off the data of the FOMCs from 2022 and how markets moved going into FOMC and how it moved during FOMC. The plan was overnight swing calls (would printed 30-50% if you held through open), I had planned to play calls at 145pm (however we got a huge 130pm pop and premiums were already insanely priced so I sat that play out), I mentioned puts at exactly 2pm which would have been a great play (if you could get a fill), I thought 235pm calls was still a high probability play (markets got a huge pop at 235pm) and then based off the last two meetings 3pm puts were a great play (however, this meeting they woulda been a bust). No one has a magic crystal ball and no one can for sure predict exactly how market will react on a day like today. I researched previous FOMCs for the highest probability plays based on the past. The past does not always predict the future. Today was the first FOMC where we never even saw a 2pm spike and where we straight dropped as soon as 2pm hit. Days like FOMC are even more risky than CPI. CPI is essentially a 50/50 chance (unless you strangle and we get a huge move)… days like FOMC you are attempting to catch the move without wrecking yourself in the mean time. This FOMC had numerous opportunities to enter plays, however, unlike most FOMCs if you held through any substantial green you immediately regretted it. I look forward to the fact that CPI/ FOMC is over and that we have nothing significant intraday for a very long time… note- we do have monthly opex and quarterly option expiration coming up this week and end of December but those days while volatile are not anything like FOMC or CPI days. Final note- on high volatility days and extremely risky days 99% of people are better off not trading at all. Most people cant stomach a lotto the way they need to be in order to succeed. If you aren’t willing to sometimes watch your position go to -50% before it goes to 100% due to volatility then its not for you. Most people don’t size appropriately for lottos either in a way that doesn’t wreck their day or week or month. In the end $5k is a truck load of money to some and $5k isn’t even a thought to others. Its never worth while to compare position sizes. |
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